BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 120 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (2-10) Overall Strength = 65.06
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/04/2021 Home W 90.76 40 21 1B 30 ( 5- 6) Central Arkansas 25.14 -6.14
2 09/11/2021 Home L 72.29 50 55 1A 82 ( 6- 6) Memphis 6.67 -11.67
3 09/18/2021 Away L 35.59 3 52 1A 71 ( 4- 8) Washington -30.03 -18.97
4 09/25/2021 Away L 77.27 34 41 1A 75 ( 6- 6) Tulsa 11.65 -18.65
5 10/02/2021 Away L * 44.95 33 59 1A 114 ( 3- 9) Georgia Southern -20.67 -5.33
6 10/07/2021 Home L * 54.75 20 52 1A 49 ( 10- 2) Coastal Carolina -10.87 -21.13
7 10/21/2021 Home L * 83.81 27 28 1A 54 ( 11- 1) Louisiana-Lafayette 18.19 -19.19
8 10/30/2021 Away L * 57.63 13 31 1A 104 ( 5- 7) South Alabama -7.99 -10.01
9 11/06/2021 Home L * 56.55 14 48 1A 23 ( 10- 2) Appalachian St -9.07 -24.93
10 11/13/2021 Away W * 73.38 27 24 1A 113 ( 4- 8) Louisiana-Monroe 7.76 -4.76
11 11/20/2021 Away L * 72.14 20 28 1A 87 ( 7- 5) Georgia St 6.52 -14.52
12 11/27/2021 Home L * 61.63 22 24 1A 118 ( 4- 8) Texas St-San Marcos -3.99 1.99
Averages 65.06 25.2 38.6
Best game: 90.76 = 19 point win over Central Arkansas
Worst game: 35.59 = 49 point loss to Washington
Team stdev: 16.10